- Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz, if conditions met.
- Pezeshkian says Khamenei authorised govt for US talks.
- Energy shares decline as gas prices also fall.
Oil prices sank more than 6% on Monday, the eve of crucial midterm elections in the United States, as signals that Tehran and Washington were ready to resume talks boosted hopes of ending the Middle East war.
Brent North Sea crude fell 6% to $106.60 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 6.4% to $97.49 per barrel.
The Axios news outlet reported that US Vice President JD Vance had sent a letter to Iranian national security chief Mohsen Rezaei about possible new talks, marking the highest-level move in months.
Iran meanwhile said it was ready to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days should the United States agree to ending the war on all fronts, among other conditions related to the conflict.
Later, President Masoud Pezeshkian said the country’s supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei had granted “powers” to the government in its talks with the United States seeking to end the Middle East war.
Share prices of energy majors dropped as gas prices also fell, while many other sectors were boosted by the cooling fuel costs.
“We believe the (Trump) signals may be tactical ahead of tomorrow’s US midterm elections,” noted Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, chief analyst at Global Risk Management.
“Meanwhile, attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz continue (and) we maintain our higher-for-longer outlook for energy prices.”
All eyes are on Tuesday’s midterms, with Democrats expecting to win at least partial control of Congress that would impose political constraints on Trump for the first time in two years.
The loss of total Republican dominance would push the president into unfamiliar and uncomfortable territory: a lame-duck period beset with high inflation at home, the sputtering war against Iran and hostile Democratic investigations into his activities in Washington.
“Investors are bracing for a fresh round of turbulence ahead of US midterm election fireworks while they assess the extent that companies are burning through cash to keep the AI bonfires burning,” said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club.
Technology firms’ share prices recovered modestly on Wall Street after Friday’s sell-off, as more poorly received earnings from US titans fanned deepening concerns about the investment boom for artificial intelligence.
Results updates from Apple, which reports after the close of trading on Monday, as well as Advanced Micro Devices and software titan Palantir will be closely watched this week.
“With Apple starting things off, the earnings cadence will start with a bang, only we won’t know until after the close if that ‘bang’ is a celebratory bang or a take-cover kind of bang,” said analyst Patrick O’Hare at Briefing.com.
Concerns about the profitability of AI-related firms did not disappear altogether.
The share price of Japanese chipmaker Kioxia plunged nearly 16% on Monday after the company gave a cautious outlook that fell short of forecasts.
The company’s stock has plunged about 70% from its record high set in June, though it is still up more than 200% since the start of the year.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were steadier after Friday’s retreat triggered by the world’s biggest crypto exchange Binance suffering the sector’s largest hack, of more than $6 billion stolen.
On the corporate front, shares in Alstom plunged over 25% after the maker of France’s TGV trains said it had uncovered new production issues with its new Coradia Max regional trains.
That forced it to lower its profit targets for the second time in six months. Its market value is now just 5.3bn euros, compared with 12bn euros at the beginning of the year.
