KARACHI - The Meteorological Department said that the deep depression near the run-off Kuch may develop into a cyclone after reaching the Arabian Sea, which is the first cyclone to form in the Arabian Sea in the month of August after almost 48 years. As a result, there is a possibility of heavy rain with thunder and wind in the rural coastal areas of Sindh including Karachi.
According to the Meteorological Department, the deep depression located near the Indian run-off of Kuch, after reaching the Arabian Sea on Friday morning, may become a hurricane due to favorable weather conditions, and this will become a hurricane after about 48 years in the Arabian Sea in August. A cyclone is forming in the month, which will be named Asna after forming a cyclonic current, Asna has a higher literal meaning and is a name suggested by Pakistan.
According to the preliminary forecast, the likely track of the storm may be towards the west and south-west direction, passing near Balochistan, it will move towards Oman and as a result, there will be thundershowers, gale force winds in various coastal areas of rural Sindh including Karachi. Heavy rains are likely.
According to the ongoing alert, apart from the Karachi division under the influence of the monsoon system and storm, Tharparkar, Badin, Thatta, Sajawal, Hyderabad, Tandu Muhammad Khan, Tandwalhiar, Matiari, Umarkot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Jamshoro and Dadum will experience heavy rain, wind and thunder. It is likely to continue till August 31
The Meteorological Department said that as a result of the storm, sea waves may rise due to the winds blowing at a speed of 60 km per hour. Fishermen have been advised to avoid going to the sea till August 31. However, it has been said that the Meteorological Department The Cyclone Warning Center of Karachi is monitoring the system.
Chief Meteorologist Karachi Sardar Sarfaraz said that the low air pressure formed in the Bay of Bengal remained in the form of a deep depression after setting three levels, the fourth level of which is a cyclonic current. Badin is close to the Indian Run-off to the south but is steadily moving westward.
He said that it is likely that the deep depression will enter the Arabian Sea by this morning, the deep depression will get a favorable environment in the deep sea, after the sea surface temperature of 29 degrees, it will increase in intensity and take the form of a storm. is,
He said that after the formation of the storm, it would be possible to determine in which direction its track would be and how intense it would be. After the formation of the tropical cyclone, there is a possibility that it will move towards the west. Passing very close to Balochistan, move towards Oman
Sardar Sarfraz said that there is also a possibility that if this deep depression stops in the Arabian Sea for some reason, Pakistani coastal areas including Karachi may be affected, the possible effects of which include heavy rains, storms and sea flooding. are included.
He said that in the meantime water may enter the coastal areas of Karachi, Ibrahim Haidari, Lagi Goth, Mubarak Village, Hawkes Bay, Keti Bandar, Shah Bandar, Mirpur Sakro, Thatt and Sajawal in rural Sindh.
The chief meteorologist said that the wind speed in the center of the storm could exceed 70 km per hour, if the cyclone comes close to Karachi and Thatth, there could be profound effects due to its proximity.
He said that the most likely possibility is that heavy rain and windy conditions may occur in Karachi for two days
According to the Chief Meteorologist, there have been examples of cyclones occurring in the month of August in the past, but these are very rare events, however, the last time a cyclone formed in the month of August was in 1976 in the Arabian Sea. They are not formed due to the fact that the vertical wind shear is high in May and June while the wind shear is low in October and November.
He said that if the storm moves west of the Arabian Sea towards Pasni, the coastal area of Balochistan, there is a strong possibility that since the sea level will be slightly lower there, the intensity of the storm may decrease. The situation till now is sad that the storm will move towards the west.
He said that even if it moves towards the southwest, there is no danger to the Pakistani coasts, but if it turns towards the northwest, then the storm can become a sign of danger for the Pakistani coasts, including Karachi.
According to the Department of Meteorology, the city of Quaid was completely cloudy throughout the day, during which light rain and drizzle continued in different areas of the city.
According to the statistics, today the highest rainfall was recorded in Gulshan Hadid and Sarjani Town, 20 mm, 15 in Quaidabad, 10.3 in Korangi, 7.2 at Jinnah Terminal, 6.4 at Old Airport, 6 at PAF Base Faisal, 4.8 at University Road. , 4.6 in DHA, 4.3 in Gulshan Mimar, 3.2 in Nazimabad, 3 in Kemari, North Karachi, 2.5 in Orangi Town, and the lowest rainfall was recorded at PAF Base Masroor of 1 mm.
According to the forecast of the Early Warning Center of the Meteorological Department, heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to occur in the city on Friday and Saturday.
